Black Gold: The Political and Economic Effects of Oil in the Middle East The early 20th century saw the Middle East transform into a major focal point for the world powers. During that time, the region gained importance as a major trade route to Asia and was under occupation by the colonial forces. Today the Middle East is far more important as it has within it a resource that is of supreme importance to the industrialized world. Oil has provided the Middle East with a tremendous amount of wealth, but at the same time has brought with it corruption, conflicts and an unsustainable lifestyle for the people of this region. Unfortunately, unlike the west, the Middle East has been unable to organize and project itself as a unified economic power like the EU or the G8 and take advantage of its massive oil reserves. The sheer importance of oil as a major source of revenue for Middle Eastern states as well as literally the fuel behind the growth of the massive western economies has given the region significant importance in the agenda of foreign policy makers. However, despite the wealth provided by oil, the leaders of the region remain embroiled in internal political disputes within their constituents as well as external conflicts with their neighbors. The countries in this region have been unable to make effective use of the oil revenues to substantially alleviate the economic hardship faced by its people and join the ranks of the industrialized nations. Despotic rulers run most of the Middle Eastern states where democracy has yet to take root. These leaders, who remain unaccountable to their people, are widely known to be corrupt and due to their suppressive policies and blessings from major western powers, are still in charge of running the affairs of their states. All of these factors beg the question as to whether oil has been a blessing or a curse for this ancient region, which has seen itself battered by various powers over the past century and continues to struggle in the modern era. The importance of the Middle East is primarily because it holds approximately 65%1 of the world untapped petroleum reserves and has the potential of having larger reserves if intensive exploration is carried out. During 2004, oil sales provided the region with $3382 billion in revenues, a colossal amount by any standard. The importance of oil for the industrialized world has attracted the attention of western and primarily American interest in the region, as there is a strong need to ensure that oil supplies remain uninterrupted. Saudi Arabia is by far the most important Middle Eastern oil producing state as it holds 25% of the world�s oil reserves1. A close second is Iraq, which not surprisingly for many was at the receiving end of two US led invasions and is now firmly under US control. Despite the wealth brought in by the oil, the Middle East has yet to develop its infrastructure. The uneven distribution of wealth in the Middle East has led to extreme disparity in the income per capita of the region and spilt the population categorically into the poverty-stricken and the excessively wealthy1. In fact, according to the Human Development Index, a standard of living index, the only countries in the Middle East that figure in the top 50of some 180 countries are Bahrain(40) Kuwait(44), Qatar(47) and the UAE(49)3. Clearly, the index does not present any exciting figures for the region. The fact that there is immense foreign interest in the region and that these powers have established bases all over the Middle East means that there is something clearly wrong with Middle Eastern policy makers. Although foreign intervention is not something new to the Middle East, the US military has taken up an almost hegemonic role in Middle Eastern politics. In fact, Middle Eastern states ally with the United States to seek protection from other hostile Arab regimes. In the past and currently, the small Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Egypt have closely allied with the US and gained protection from threats to their sovereignty, which of course is ironic since they are not completely sovereign by doing so. Foreign powers are so engrossed in Middle Eastern affairs that they are prepared to intervene in any event that might destabilize the region. More recently, the US intervened after Kuwait was attacked by Iraq on the pretext that it was overproducing oil and hence conducting economic warfare against Iraq4. In fact, the instability of the region is such that it has witnessed over 20 wars ever since 19485. To add fuel to the fire, Middle Eastern rulers have created a sense of fear in the minds of their citizens and this has been a self-fulfilling prophecy resulting in the region falling victim to numerous wars. The leaders of these states have used the oil money to purchase sophisticated weaponry from western nations to further incense this insecurity and at some instances, the weapons purchased by these states are more modern than the ones used by the countries providing them1. In fact, Middle Eastern states have spent twice as much on average on military expenditure than on education and around 3 times more than on health6. The priorities of the leaders in the region seem to suggest that they are bent on distracting their constituents from more pressing issues such as education and economic development. There are many reasons behind the backwardness of the Middle Eastern countries. Many western scholars argue that Islam is a major factor behind lack of freedom and education in the region; however, examples of Muslim �Tiger� countries such as Malaysia and Indonesia prove otherwise. The western powers have had a huge role in playing out the politics in the region for the past century and aside from actually creating the map of the modern Middle East after World War II, these powers never really left this region any sovereignty when they left. According to the lecture by Professor O� Donnell, the US interest in the region is also to control oil prices, through which the US would be able to control the Chinese, Indian and Japanese economies, a useful tool to see that America�s competitors are kept in line. This lack of freedom from foreign powers is one important reason why the region has never really developed on its own until the rise in demand of oil and the subsequent inflow of �petro- dollars� to the region. While the US has been pivotal in the wars for spread of democracy and freedom in Vietnam and Korea, it seems as though it does not care much the Middle East in terms of its political development and economic self-sufficiency. The reason behind this is that if democracy were to be rooted in the Middle East, the masses would have a clear say in the policies of their government. Obviously, previous experience with the colonial powers and the current western and especially American support of Israel would clearly factor in the supply of oil. For the US and other western powers, it has been a primary responsibly to ensure that the despotic rulers of the Middle East are kept in power to guarantee the secure and uninterrupted supply of oil. Along with this measure, it has never been a policy to promote education and social stability in this region. If the Middle Eastern states were to become self reliant on their own people, it would be of immense cost to the west. Oil revenues are used to purchase machinery, banking services, weaponry etc from the west7. If the Middle East becomes a major economic power, it would not need such services from the west and this would be huge economic loss for the countries providing these services. Foreign policy towards this region has aimed to keep the leaders of these states satisfied and in power, as there is little reason for the west to worry about what leaders then do for their people. However, as seen with Saddam Hussein, removing a leader is not very hard for the western powers. According to Professor O�Donnell, Iraq will play a central role in the US petroleum market in the next couple of decades and would require an elaborate and sophisticated infrastructure to provide the oil production needed at that time. Under the reign of Saddam Hussein, this process of modernization of the oil production facilities would be problematic and hence there was a need for a new Iraqi leader. Some states however need not worry about self-reliance as it is of up most importance to remain sovereign while modernizing. Such a state is Iran, which has large population of professionals such as technicians, engineers and doctors. Arab countries like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and others are prime examples of states that have not used their oil revenues to build the infrastructure needed to sustain and develop a modern economy. While countries like Singapore built themselves on tourism and professional services without the revenues from any single economic resource, Arab states have failed to produce an elaborate plan for the future. The failure behind this problem lies in the leadership of these countries and the leaders who have continuously failed to recognize or even care about the long-term effects their policies on the region. For example, there are no world-renowned institutions of higher learning in the region, a key tool in developing a sustainable economy. However, this may ultimately be because more education will eventually lead to the freedom of ideas and eventually the downfall of the corrupt regimes. Whatever the case may be, oil revenues have been mismanaged in the Middle East and while there is immense potential for the region to develop into a economic powerhouse, there is little to imply that it is heading in that direction. To answer the question as to whether oil has been a blessing for the Middle East or a curse, it would make more sense now to assess whether oil still has the potential of being a blessing. Clearly, oil has brought in foreign powers and corrupt leaders, but while oil revenues last, the effects it has on the politics and economic life in Middle East is unmistakable. The misusage of oil revenues and the general mismanagement of the oil producing states is one reason why the Middle East is not an economic power today. No doubt the oil reserves in this region are a blessing for the states which have them as the oil brought them enormous wealth, but all that is needed now is accountability and proper utilization of the �petro-dollars�. Although this is not an easy task, it needs to be given prime importance especially before the revenues run out and the Middle East turns into desert wasteland rather than the oasis it ought to be. Bibliography: 1 Klare, Michael "Oil Conflict in the Persian Gulf" in Resource Wars: The New Landscape of Global Conflict, New York: Metropolitan Books, 2001, pp. 51-80. 2 OPEC oil revenues: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/opecrev.html 3 Human Development Index: http://hdr.undp.org/reports/global/2004/pdf/hdr04_HDI.pdf 4 Timeline of the Middle East http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/teach/gulfguide/gwtimeline.html 5 List of wars in the Middle East: http://www.historyguy.com/War_list.html#warlist13a 6 Military and Social Expenditure index. http://www.sipri.org/contents/milap/milex/mex_burden.html 7A great deal of information has been used from the research project I undertook with Professor O�Donnell during winter 2004. Our research was about the geo-politics of the war in Iraq. http://www-personal.umich.edu/~twod/oil/ Content from the following web pages was helpful in providing information on the US- Arab relations. http://www.saudi-us-relations.org/newsletter2004/saudi-relations-interest-07-13.html http://www.intellectualconservative.com/article3111.html http://www.markswatson.com/globalinstab.html